Peer-reviewed & Forthcoming Publications
Gray, Thomas R., and Daniel S. Smith. 2023. "Lineage or Legions? Explaining Imperial Rule Duration in the Roman Empire." International Studies Quarterly 67(1)
Gray, Thomas and Daniel S. Smith. 2022. "Retrospective Voting in the Premodern World: The Case of Natural Disasters in the Roman Republic." Journal of Historical Political Economy. 2(3), 477-497.
Chlouba, Vladimir, Daniel S. Smith, and Seamus Wagner. 2021. "Early Statehood and Support for Autocratic Rule in Africa." Comparative Political Studies 55(4), 688-724.
Gray, Thomas R., and Daniel S. Smith. 2023. "Lineage or Legions? Explaining Imperial Rule Duration in the Roman Empire." International Studies Quarterly 67(1)
Gray, Thomas and Daniel S. Smith. 2022. "Retrospective Voting in the Premodern World: The Case of Natural Disasters in the Roman Republic." Journal of Historical Political Economy. 2(3), 477-497.
Chlouba, Vladimir, Daniel S. Smith, and Seamus Wagner. 2021. "Early Statehood and Support for Autocratic Rule in Africa." Comparative Political Studies 55(4), 688-724.
Editor-reviewed Publications
Smith, Daniel S. and Thomas Gray. 2021. “Looking for Leadership in Historical Context: An Extension of the RIFLE Method of Randomization Inference.” Journal of Historical Political Economy.
Smith, Daniel S. and Thomas Gray. 2021. “Looking for Leadership in Historical Context: An Extension of the RIFLE Method of Randomization Inference.” Journal of Historical Political Economy.
Other Publications
Gray, Thomas R. and Daniel S. Smith. 2020. “Vox Populi: Popular Politics before Liberal Democracy.” The Journal of Politics 2020 82:2, e21-e26
Gray, Thomas R. and Daniel S. Smith. 2020. “Vox Populi: Popular Politics before Liberal Democracy.” The Journal of Politics 2020 82:2, e21-e26
Working Papers
“Many Are Called: Challenger Quantity and Autocratic Survival in the Roman Empire” (with Thomas Gray)
"Strike while the Lead is Hot?: Offensive Operations and Strategies of Terrorism." (with Brittnee Carter and Thomas Guarrieri)
"By Their Own Laws and in Liberty: Urban Autonomy and Long-run Geopolitical Fragmentation."
"Examining the Counterinsurgency-Counterterrorism Tradeoff: The Effects of Targeted Strikes on Militant Attacks." (with Brittnee Carter and Thomas Guarrieri)
“Many Are Called: Challenger Quantity and Autocratic Survival in the Roman Empire” (with Thomas Gray)
"Strike while the Lead is Hot?: Offensive Operations and Strategies of Terrorism." (with Brittnee Carter and Thomas Guarrieri)
"By Their Own Laws and in Liberty: Urban Autonomy and Long-run Geopolitical Fragmentation."
"Examining the Counterinsurgency-Counterterrorism Tradeoff: The Effects of Targeted Strikes on Militant Attacks." (with Brittnee Carter and Thomas Guarrieri)
Data Collection Projects
“Political Leaders through Time (PLT).” Biographical information about top leaders of polities from 3500 BCE to the present. Collaborators: Lee Cojocaru, Cem Mert Dallı, John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Andrej Kokkonen, Xin Nong, Anders Sundell, Jan Teorell.
“Political Leaders through Time (PLT).” Biographical information about top leaders of polities from 3500 BCE to the present. Collaborators: Lee Cojocaru, Cem Mert Dallı, John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Andrej Kokkonen, Xin Nong, Anders Sundell, Jan Teorell.
