Peer-reviewed & Forthcoming Publications
Smith, Daniel S. 2025. “Built on Shifting Sands: Warfare, Conquest, and Participatory Institutions in Pre-modern Eurasia, 1000-1799 CE” (R&R)
Smith, Daniel S. 2025. “Storm from the Steppes: Warfare and Succession Institutions in Pre-modern Eurasia, 1000-1799 CE.” American Political Science Review: 1–18. doi:10.1017/S000305542510097X
Day, Asaf, Brittnee Carter, Thomas Guarrieri, and Daniel S. Smith. 2025. “International Troop Deployments and Insurgent Territorial Advances: Evidence from Somalia.” Small Wars & Insurgencies: 1-27. doi:10.1080/09592318.2025.2469355
Carter, Brittnee, Thomas Guarrieri, and Daniel S. Smith. 2024. ”Examining the Counterinsurgency-Counterterrorism Tradeoff: The Effects of Targeted Strikes on Militant Attacks.” Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict 17(2): 97-117. doi:10.1080/17467586.2023.2285439
Gray, Thomas R., and Daniel S. Smith. 2023. "Lineage or Legions? Explaining Imperial Rule Duration in the Roman Empire." International Studies Quarterly 67(1) doi:10.1093/isq/sqad004
Gray, Thomas and Daniel S. Smith. 2022. "Retrospective Voting in the Premodern World: The Case of Natural Disasters in the Roman Republic." Journal of Historical Political Economy. 2(3), 477-497. doi:10.1561/115.00000037
Chlouba, Vladimir, Daniel S. Smith, and Seamus Wagner. 2021. "Early Statehood and Support for Autocratic Rule in Africa." Comparative Political Studies 55(4), 688-724. doi:10.1177/00104140211036031
Smith, Daniel S. 2025. “Built on Shifting Sands: Warfare, Conquest, and Participatory Institutions in Pre-modern Eurasia, 1000-1799 CE” (R&R)
Smith, Daniel S. 2025. “Storm from the Steppes: Warfare and Succession Institutions in Pre-modern Eurasia, 1000-1799 CE.” American Political Science Review: 1–18. doi:10.1017/S000305542510097X
Day, Asaf, Brittnee Carter, Thomas Guarrieri, and Daniel S. Smith. 2025. “International Troop Deployments and Insurgent Territorial Advances: Evidence from Somalia.” Small Wars & Insurgencies: 1-27. doi:10.1080/09592318.2025.2469355
Carter, Brittnee, Thomas Guarrieri, and Daniel S. Smith. 2024. ”Examining the Counterinsurgency-Counterterrorism Tradeoff: The Effects of Targeted Strikes on Militant Attacks.” Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict 17(2): 97-117. doi:10.1080/17467586.2023.2285439
Gray, Thomas R., and Daniel S. Smith. 2023. "Lineage or Legions? Explaining Imperial Rule Duration in the Roman Empire." International Studies Quarterly 67(1) doi:10.1093/isq/sqad004
Gray, Thomas and Daniel S. Smith. 2022. "Retrospective Voting in the Premodern World: The Case of Natural Disasters in the Roman Republic." Journal of Historical Political Economy. 2(3), 477-497. doi:10.1561/115.00000037
Chlouba, Vladimir, Daniel S. Smith, and Seamus Wagner. 2021. "Early Statehood and Support for Autocratic Rule in Africa." Comparative Political Studies 55(4), 688-724. doi:10.1177/00104140211036031
Editor-reviewed Publications
Smith, Daniel S. and Thomas R. Gray. 2025. “Enemy Through the Gates: Warfare, Mobility, and the Political Economy of Conquest in Premodern Eurasia, 1–1799 CE”, Journal of Historical Political Economy 5(2): 167-188. doi:10.1561/115.00000092
Smith, Daniel S. and Thomas R. Gray. 2021. “Looking for Leadership in Historical Context: An Extension of the RIFLE Method of Randomization Inference.” Journal of Historical Political Economy 1(2): 215-234. doi:10.1561/115.00000010
Smith, Daniel S. and Thomas R. Gray. 2025. “Enemy Through the Gates: Warfare, Mobility, and the Political Economy of Conquest in Premodern Eurasia, 1–1799 CE”, Journal of Historical Political Economy 5(2): 167-188. doi:10.1561/115.00000092
Smith, Daniel S. and Thomas R. Gray. 2021. “Looking for Leadership in Historical Context: An Extension of the RIFLE Method of Randomization Inference.” Journal of Historical Political Economy 1(2): 215-234. doi:10.1561/115.00000010
Other Publications
Gray, Thomas R. and Daniel S. Smith. 2020. “Vox Populi: Popular Politics before Liberal Democracy.” The Journal of Politics 2020 82:2, e21-e26. doi:10.1086/707824
Gray, Thomas R. and Daniel S. Smith. 2020. “Vox Populi: Popular Politics before Liberal Democracy.” The Journal of Politics 2020 82:2, e21-e26. doi:10.1086/707824
Working Papers
"Historical Dynamics of Imperialism: Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Colonization" (with Jan Pierskalla and Jan Vogler)
“Military Elites and Political Stability, 1000–1800 CE” (with Jan Pierskalla)
“Many Are Called: Challenger Quantity and Autocratic Survival in the Roman Empire” (with Thomas Gray)
"Strike while the Lead is Hot?: Offensive Operations and Strategies of Terrorism." (with Brittnee Carter and Thomas Guarrieri)
"By Their Own Laws and in Liberty: Urban Autonomy and Long-run Geopolitical Fragmentation." (with Thomas Gray)
"Historical Dynamics of Imperialism: Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Colonization" (with Jan Pierskalla and Jan Vogler)
“Military Elites and Political Stability, 1000–1800 CE” (with Jan Pierskalla)
“Many Are Called: Challenger Quantity and Autocratic Survival in the Roman Empire” (with Thomas Gray)
"Strike while the Lead is Hot?: Offensive Operations and Strategies of Terrorism." (with Brittnee Carter and Thomas Guarrieri)
"By Their Own Laws and in Liberty: Urban Autonomy and Long-run Geopolitical Fragmentation." (with Thomas Gray)
Data Collection Projects
Storm from the Steppes: Warfare, Conquest, and Divergences in Pre-modern Eurasia, 1000-1799 CE: Dissertation project focused on the short and long-term political consequences of steppe nomad conquests across medieval and early modern Eurasian societies, with implications for foundational questions related to warfare and institution-building.
Bringing "The Rest" Back In. APSA/NSF-funded data collection effort focused on the emergence and evolution of participatory political institutions across Eurasian societies between 1000 and 1800 CE.
Political Leaders through Time (PLT). Biographical information about top leaders of polities from 3500 BCE to the present. Collaborators: Lee Cojocaru, Cem Mert Dallı, John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Andrej Kokkonen, Xin Nong, Anders Sundell, Jan Teorell.
Storm from the Steppes: Warfare, Conquest, and Divergences in Pre-modern Eurasia, 1000-1799 CE: Dissertation project focused on the short and long-term political consequences of steppe nomad conquests across medieval and early modern Eurasian societies, with implications for foundational questions related to warfare and institution-building.
Bringing "The Rest" Back In. APSA/NSF-funded data collection effort focused on the emergence and evolution of participatory political institutions across Eurasian societies between 1000 and 1800 CE.
Political Leaders through Time (PLT). Biographical information about top leaders of polities from 3500 BCE to the present. Collaborators: Lee Cojocaru, Cem Mert Dallı, John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Andrej Kokkonen, Xin Nong, Anders Sundell, Jan Teorell.