Peer-reviewed & Forthcoming Publications
”Storm from the Steppes: Institutional Disruption and Divergence in Pre-modern Eurasia, 1000-1800 CE.” (R&R)
Carter, Brittnee, Thomas Guarrieri, and Daniel S. Smith. 2023. ”Examining the Counterinsurgency-Counterterrorism Tradeoff: The Effects of Targeted Strikes on Militant Attacks.” (Forthcoming at Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict)
Gray, Thomas R., and Daniel S. Smith. 2023. "Lineage or Legions? Explaining Imperial Rule Duration in the Roman Empire." International Studies Quarterly 67(1)
Gray, Thomas and Daniel S. Smith. 2022. "Retrospective Voting in the Premodern World: The Case of Natural Disasters in the Roman Republic." Journal of Historical Political Economy. 2(3), 477-497.
Chlouba, Vladimir, Daniel S. Smith, and Seamus Wagner. 2021. "Early Statehood and Support for Autocratic Rule in Africa." Comparative Political Studies 55(4), 688-724.
”Storm from the Steppes: Institutional Disruption and Divergence in Pre-modern Eurasia, 1000-1800 CE.” (R&R)
Carter, Brittnee, Thomas Guarrieri, and Daniel S. Smith. 2023. ”Examining the Counterinsurgency-Counterterrorism Tradeoff: The Effects of Targeted Strikes on Militant Attacks.” (Forthcoming at Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict)
Gray, Thomas R., and Daniel S. Smith. 2023. "Lineage or Legions? Explaining Imperial Rule Duration in the Roman Empire." International Studies Quarterly 67(1)
Gray, Thomas and Daniel S. Smith. 2022. "Retrospective Voting in the Premodern World: The Case of Natural Disasters in the Roman Republic." Journal of Historical Political Economy. 2(3), 477-497.
Chlouba, Vladimir, Daniel S. Smith, and Seamus Wagner. 2021. "Early Statehood and Support for Autocratic Rule in Africa." Comparative Political Studies 55(4), 688-724.
Editor-reviewed Publications
Smith, Daniel S. and Thomas Gray. 2021. “Looking for Leadership in Historical Context: An Extension of the RIFLE Method of Randomization Inference.” Journal of Historical Political Economy.
Smith, Daniel S. and Thomas Gray. 2021. “Looking for Leadership in Historical Context: An Extension of the RIFLE Method of Randomization Inference.” Journal of Historical Political Economy.
Other Publications
Gray, Thomas R. and Daniel S. Smith. 2020. “Vox Populi: Popular Politics before Liberal Democracy.” The Journal of Politics 2020 82:2, e21-e26
Gray, Thomas R. and Daniel S. Smith. 2020. “Vox Populi: Popular Politics before Liberal Democracy.” The Journal of Politics 2020 82:2, e21-e26
Working Papers
“Built on Shifting Sands: Warfare and Extraction in Pre-modern Eurasia, 1000-1800 CE"
“Many Are Called: Challenger Quantity and Autocratic Survival in the Roman Empire” (with Thomas Gray)
"Strike while the Lead is Hot?: Offensive Operations and Strategies of Terrorism." (with Brittnee Carter and Thomas Guarrieri)
"By Their Own Laws and in Liberty: Urban Autonomy and Long-run Geopolitical Fragmentation."
“Built on Shifting Sands: Warfare and Extraction in Pre-modern Eurasia, 1000-1800 CE"
“Many Are Called: Challenger Quantity and Autocratic Survival in the Roman Empire” (with Thomas Gray)
"Strike while the Lead is Hot?: Offensive Operations and Strategies of Terrorism." (with Brittnee Carter and Thomas Guarrieri)
"By Their Own Laws and in Liberty: Urban Autonomy and Long-run Geopolitical Fragmentation."
Data Collection Projects
Storm From the Steppes: Dissertation project focused on the short and long-term political consequences of steppe nomad conquests across medieval and early modern Eurasian societies, with implications for foundational questions related to warfare and institution-building.
Bringing 'The Rest' Back In. APSA/NSF-funded data collection effort focused on the emergence and evolution of participatory political institutions across Eurasian societies between 1000 and 1800 CE.
Political Leaders through Time (PLT). Biographical information about top leaders of polities from 3500 BCE to the present. Collaborators: Lee Cojocaru, Cem Mert Dallı, John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Andrej Kokkonen, Xin Nong, Anders Sundell, Jan Teorell.
Storm From the Steppes: Dissertation project focused on the short and long-term political consequences of steppe nomad conquests across medieval and early modern Eurasian societies, with implications for foundational questions related to warfare and institution-building.
Bringing 'The Rest' Back In. APSA/NSF-funded data collection effort focused on the emergence and evolution of participatory political institutions across Eurasian societies between 1000 and 1800 CE.
Political Leaders through Time (PLT). Biographical information about top leaders of polities from 3500 BCE to the present. Collaborators: Lee Cojocaru, Cem Mert Dallı, John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Andrej Kokkonen, Xin Nong, Anders Sundell, Jan Teorell.